Will Avowed come to PlayStation? Analysis of Microsoft's exclusive strategy

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Xbox has repeatedly stated that no game is entirely off the table when it comes to launching on competitor platforms like PlayStation or Nintendo. With all Xbox titles now making their way to PC, the exclusivity of first-party games remains a fluid situation.
This brings us to Avowed, Obsidian Entertainment’s upcoming RPG and one of Xbox’s biggest exclusives of the year. Given the current climate, it’s natural to wonder whether Avowed will eventually follow other Xbox titles to PlayStation. Obsidian, known for Fallout: New Vegas and The Outer Worlds, has built strong credibility in the RPG space, making Avowed a key release for Microsoft.
Microsoft has established three primary approaches when it comes to bringing its exclusives to other platforms:
Same-Day Launch – Some games, like DOOM: The Dark Ages, will debut on PlayStation and Xbox simultaneously, with Game Pass serving as the primary selling point for Xbox users. Older acquisitions like Call of Duty follow a similar model, maintaining their multi-platform status.
Timed Exclusivity – Other titles, such as Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, launch first on Xbox before making their way to PlayStation at a later date. Additionally, older exclusives like Grounded and Sea of Thieves have only recently been approved for release on PlayStation and Switch.
Uncertain or Permanent Exclusivity – Some games remain Xbox console exclusives with no clear plan for a PlayStation release. Notable examples include Halo Infinite and Starfield. While Xbox has left the door open for these titles to appear on other platforms, no official announcements have been made.
Avowed appears to fit into the third category—at least for now. During Microsoft’s discussions with regulators over the Activision Blizzard acquisition, the company outlined a framework for exclusivity. Existing multi-platform franchises like Call of Duty would remain available across consoles, while new first-party IPs such as Starfield would remain exclusive to Xbox. Given this stance, Avowed, which is also a new first-party IP, seems to align with Microsoft’s historical approach.
Despite Microsoft’s evolving stance on exclusivity, neither Starfield nor Avowed have been announced for PlayStation. If Avowed does make the jump, it likely won’t be anytime soon. Starfield launched in September 2023 and has yet to be confirmed for PlayStation, suggesting that Avowed—if it ever transitions—would follow a similar timeline.
Microsoft’s internal decision-making regarding exclusivity remains unclear, but there does seem to be a distinction between different categories of games. Titles that are not former multi-platform releases, cross-media IPs, or multiplayer-focused games appear more likely to remain Xbox exclusives for longer periods. This logic suggests that The Elder Scrolls VI, a massive franchise with an established multi-platform history, could land on PlayStation, whereas Avowed and Starfield—despite Avowed’s ties to the Pillars of Eternity universe—are less likely to follow suit in the near future.
While an eventual PlayStation release for Avowed isn’t impossible, based on Starfield’s trajectory, it seems highly unlikely to happen anytime soon.
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